when will china invade australiawhen will china invade australia

Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. This raises again the question of alliance obligation, and the subsequent need by Washington to make it very clear to China that an attack on Australia will trigger an allied response. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. The implications for Australia beyond 2025 onwards are not as assured and this will be due to the fact that as China continues to rise the US will continue to decline and therefore, the US will have become a significantly lesser threat. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. This is where I place Australia with regard to China (providing it stays on its current foreign policy/policies pathway). Despite its massive standing force, including noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, it is not fit to conduct a successful cross-strait amphibious invasion of nearby Taiwan (Chinas number one strategic and operational priority), let alone engage in a long distance strategic hypothetical such as an invasion of Australia. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. Countries like Australia need to be careful how they take sides especially with the appalling record of intervention by the US. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? And we are afraid of China? What am I missing? The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. The ADFs combat experience in campaigns fought in the Middle East and Afghanistan is valuable, but would it help to fight against a high tempo campaign near-peer adversary? You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. [11] GALLUPWorld. How are we going to survive if we deliberately ignore threats for fear of offending someone? I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. Maybe her comment was not as stupid as everybody thought at the time. Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. Something went wrong, please try again later. Islamic terrorism to be exact!!! New York: Free Press, 1992. But you cant do that, youre just a whining shitbag like the entire PUP. For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. The likely conflict arises because the US is unwilling to allow any other country to be its equal, and having subdued the Soviet Union the US is determined to subdue China, regardless of the US having no real role in Asia but as a meddler. 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Your email address will not be published. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. Historical Statistics. Furthermore, as the US is forced to shift its focus toward Central Asia, the South Americas and Israel, this will make Australia more vulnerable. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. "It may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000 ton' maritime . China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. War is inevitable. On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI. The Sydney Morning Herald, Sydney: Fairfax Media, 20 August, 2014. http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. By Alan Dupont. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. Australia has fallen out with China in recent years over significant geopolitical issues, including Beijing's territorial ambitions in the South China Sea and the COVID-19 pandemic. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. A war . In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. Taiwanese . Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. [8] Gabriel Kolko. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. [10] Angus Madisson. But the nation is not in a good place. There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. The relative ease of attacking mainland Australia comes from the geographical distribution of our major industrial and population centres, which are located within Australias littoral. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. Among them are the following (but not necessarily in this exact order): The ADF is a highly trained and combat experienced battle force, which continuously invests in acquiring advanced military capabilities that enable it to operate across all current and emerging battle domains. They have too many internal problems to contemplate any sort of world conflict. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. Its strained good intentions land and mineral assets and not fact add to the difficulty of holding another country 44313698183... Fairfax Media, 19 August, 2014. http: //www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which only. Never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions could be used for a full-scale invasion from.! Maximum upload file size: 2 MB for me is not in a good place Japanese.... 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